Where the market stands today, measured with six groups of indicators and explicit rules. Updated every day at the close.
Score +1 on a −6 to +6 scale · close of 2026-10-16 · since 2026-10-15 (previously: Favorable)
Mixed signals: the market shows no clear direction.
How the regime has changed over recent years against the index, percentiles for every indicator, and a Telegram alert when it changes.
Go Pro| Index | Day | 20 days | YTD | vs. MA200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | -1.1% | +0.1% | +11.7% | +5.3% |
| Nasdaq 100 | -2.5% | -1.5% | +15.8% | +5.2% |
| Russell 2000 | -1.7% | -4.9% | +8.5% | -2.6% |
| Dow Jones | -0.3% | +0.6% | +7.5% | +3.1% |
| Sector | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|
| Energy cyclical | +6.7% | +15.6% |
| Health care defensive | +5.3% | +9.9% |
| Consumer staples defensive | +6.5% | +6.0% |
| Communication services defensive | -0.1% | +5.0% |
| Consumer discretionary cyclical | +1.5% | +3.6% |
| Technology cyclical | -3.1% | +2.9% |
| Materials cyclical | +2.3% | +1.7% |
| Financials cyclical | -0.3% | -0.2% |
| Real estate defensive | -0.0% | -5.4% |
| Industrials cyclical | -0.9% | -7.5% |
| Utilities defensive | +3.5% | -7.9% |
Each panel scores +1, 0 or −1 according to the rule shown on it; the sum gives the regime: +4 or more, Expansion; +2 to +3, Favorable; −1 to +1, Neutral; −2 to −3, Stress; −4 or less, Panic (also when volatility and trend score −1 and fewer than 20% of stocks are above their 50-day average). Breadth uses today's S&P 500 constituents, so older readings are slightly optimistic.
Indicators calculated from public closing prices. They describe the general state of the market; they are not a recommendation to buy or sell, nor a forecast, and they don't take any individual investor's situation into account.